Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 30

  • The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | KJZZ

The Denver Nuggets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 12-17 against the spread, while the Jazz are 15-14 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Utah Jazz U

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 79.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Jazz.

Jazz vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 61.2% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 away games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 12-17 (-6.7 Units / -20.3% ROI).

  • 17-13 against the Moneyline (-6.4 Units / -9.44% ROI)
  • 20-10 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 10-20 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 15-14 (-0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI).

  • 7-23 against the Moneyline (-8.85 Units / -29.5% ROI)
  • 17-13 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)
  • 13-17 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 70 games (-25.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-25.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 72 games (-24.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.12 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 72 games (-21.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 74 games (-34.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 games (-30.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-25.15 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 38 away games (-22.56 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 52 games (-21.30 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 49-6 (.891) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 54-19 (.740) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are winless (0-11) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 3-9 (.250) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Jazz are 1-9 (.100) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .409

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (311 points/30 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (598 points/30 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (115 assists/ 41 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (1,339/2,675) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 18.6 turnovers per game (558 turnovers/30 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Jazz have averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (934 turnovers/112 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Jazz averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (655 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 8.3 second chance points per game (935 points/112 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,049 rebounds/112 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,103 rebounds/30 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 49% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 6.8 steals per game (205 steals/30 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Jazz have allowed 9.1 fast break points per game (1,017 points/112 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.0

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (876/2,184) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 21.2 fast break points per game (1,230 points/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0


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