Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 28, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on AL2 | KTVD | KJZZ

The Denver Nuggets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 6-9 against the spread, while the Jazz are 8-9 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Utah Jazz U

Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Jazz.

Jazz vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.21 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+12.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+9.12 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -22.16% ROI).

  • 9-7 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 2.25% ROI)
  • 11-5 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI)
  • 5-11 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 8-9 (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 4-13 against the Moneyline (-2.95 Units / -17.35% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 80 games (-29.25 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 72 games (-26.75 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 59 games (-18.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (-34.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 away games (-18.10 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 31 games (-17.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.57 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets are 59-10 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658

The Nuggets are 41-3 (.932) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed 14.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are winless (0-8) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Jazz are 1-25 (.038) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 15.0 assists per game (225 assists/15 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (225 assists/ 92 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,747 assists/ 1,216 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets have averaged 30.3 assists per game (455 assists/15 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.9

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (806 turnovers/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (655 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have a 33% free throw rate (248 free throw attempts/759 field goal attempts) on the road this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (71 blocks/15 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (552 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,498 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 20.0 fast break points per game (1,823 points/91 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7

The Jazz have allowed 18.6 fast break points per game (1,819 points/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Jazz have averaged 6.7 steals per game (653 steals/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.