Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 38-29 against the spread, while the Lakers are 37-29 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Lakers.

Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+20.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.53 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.39 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 38-29 (+6.1 Units / 8.27% ROI).

• 41-26 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 1.7% ROI)
• 42-25 against the Over for game total points (+14.53 Units / 19.72% ROI)
• 25-42 against the Under for game total points (-21.2 Units / -28.74% ROI)

Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 37-29 (+5.1 Units / 7.02% ROI).

• 41-25 against the Moneyline (+10.45 Units / 7.16% ROI)
• 34-31 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI)
• 31-34 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -8.82% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:

• The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.20 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-18.70 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games at home (-16.50 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-15.75 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.65 Units / -36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 away games (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 25 away games (-15.80 Units / -55% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.51 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets are 34-7 (.829) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Nuggets were 11-2 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 29-9 (.763) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Lakers are 10-5 (.667) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

The Lakers are 18-9 (.667) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have forced 12.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-lowest in the NBA.

The Lakers are 12-2 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (918/2,350) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,653 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,454/2,868) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Lakers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (3,886 points/2,826 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,295 points/230 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have forced 12.0 turnovers per game (804 turnovers/67 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Nuggets have forced 12.1 turnovers per game (435 turnovers/36 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/31 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (275 blocks/66 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Lakers averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have allowed 16.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,082 rebounds/66 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

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