Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Oct. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (4-2) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers (0-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 9:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 3-3 against the spread, while the Lakers are 0-5 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-3.5 -115O 228.5 -110-165
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 -105U 228.5 -110140

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 61.3% confidence.

Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+19.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (+18.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+14.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 39 away games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.78 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 70 games (+23.89 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+18.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+11.84 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.17 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.14 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 4-2 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.34% ROI)
    • 3-3 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 3-3 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 0-5 (-5.55 Units / -100% ROI).

    • 0-5 against the Moneyline (-5.7 Units / -100% ROI)
    • 1-4 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI)
    • 4-1 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-33.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 80 games (-33.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 70 games (-33.06 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 69 games (-26.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.42 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 80 games (-43.39 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 87 games (-32.48 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 81 games (-27.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-23.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.99 Units / -24% ROI)
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    Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

    The Denver Nuggets were 20-5 (.800) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,121 turnovers/81 games) last season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

    The Nuggets are 22-17 (.564) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

    The Nuggets are 20-15 (.571) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

    The Lakers were 11-19 (.367) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Lakers were 7-15 (.318) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Lakers are 19-34 (.358) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

    The Lakers are 11-6 (.647) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

    Injury Report: Lakers vs. NuggetsSunday‘s Game, Oct. 30

  • Thomas Bryant (Lakers): Lakers say Bryant underwent surgery on his left thumb and will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Juan Toscano-Anderson (Lakers): Toscano-Anderson is questionable for Sunday’s (Oct. 30) game against Denver.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is questionable for Sunday’s (Oct. 30) game against Denver.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Sunday’s (Oct. 30) game against Denver.
  • Dennis Schroder (Lakers): Lakers head coach Darvin Ham announced that Schroder will undergo surgery on his thumb and be out three-to-four weeks.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is questionable for Sunday’s (Oct. 30) game against the Lakers.
  • Davon Reed (Nuggets): Reed is questionable for Sunday’s (Oct. 30) game against the Lakers.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Denver Nuggets say guard Collin Gillespie will be out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets shot 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets averaged 15.1 assists per game (1,238 assists/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

    The Nuggets shot 48% (3,416/7,078) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,905 assists/ 1,163 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

    The Lakers had 23.1 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Lakers averaged 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (772 rebounds/81 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

    The Lakers shot 34% from three (497/1,450) in the second half last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (314 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (628 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Lakers averaged 5.1 blocks per game (417 blocks/81 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Lakers blocked 417 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams

    The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,180 steals/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Lakers have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (803 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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