Nuggets vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 9

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Orlando Magic logo on the left and Denver Nuggets logo on the right
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (38-17) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Magic (22-33)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Thursday, February 9, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSFL & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Amway Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Nuggets vs Magic Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 29-25 against the spread, while the Magic are 31-22 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-5.5 -115O 231.5 -110-225
Orlando Magic +5.5 -105U 231.5 -110+185

Magic vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 66.1% confidence.

Magic vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Magic, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 51 games (+19.07 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 54 games (+17.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.09 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+24.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+15.77 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+13.57 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.48% ROI).

  • 38-17 against the Moneyline (+14.35 Units / 9.78% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 31-22 (+6.85 Units / 11.33% ROI).

  • 22-33 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 26.3% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 58 games (-17.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-17.27 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-14.67 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-14.48 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 81 games (-12.70 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-28.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.77 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 81 games (-23.11 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 81 games (-22.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.85 Units / -20% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Denver Nuggets are 25-7 (.781) when winning the rebounding margin this season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 41.3 rebounds per game (2,313 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 18-2 (.900) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (853 turnovers/56 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,979 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 42-8 (.840) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Orlando Magic are 12-59 (.169) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 46.6 rebounds per game (6,378 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Orlando Magic are 5-19 (.208) when losing the rebounding margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 47.2 rebounds per game (2,596 rebounds/55 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Magic are 19-50 (.275) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Magic are 5-56 (.082) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

Injury Report: Magic vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 9

  • Gary Harris (Magic): Harris is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb. 9) game against Denver.
  • Chuma Okeke (Magic): Okeke underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his knee and is expected to be out at least a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is doubtful for Thursday’s (Feb.9) game against Orlando.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb.9) game against Orlando.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,741/9,281) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (98/242) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,086/6,021) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 43% (4,042/9,299) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic have averaged 52.0 points per game (10,807 points/208 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Magic have an eFG% of 50% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Magic have averaged 107.1 points per game (14,561 points/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (867 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (239 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (278 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (418 blocks/102 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (467 blocks/103 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Magic have averaged 6.9 steals per game (934 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Magic have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,660 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Magic have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (932 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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