- The Nuggets (38-17) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Magic (22-33)
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Thursday, February 9, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSFL & ALT
The Denver Nuggets visit Amway Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Magic Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 29-25 against the spread, while the Magic are 31-22 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | -5.5 -115 | O 231.5 -110 | -225 |
Orlando Magic | +5.5 -105 | U 231.5 -110 | +185 |
Magic vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 66.1% confidence.
Magic vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Magic, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 51 games (+19.07 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 54 games (+17.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.09 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+24.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+15.77 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+13.57 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.48% ROI).
- 38-17 against the Moneyline (+14.35 Units / 9.78% ROI)
- 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
- 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 31-22 (+6.85 Units / 11.33% ROI).
- 22-33 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 26.3% ROI)
- 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
- 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 58 games (-17.55 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-17.27 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-14.67 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-14.48 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 81 games (-12.70 Units / -14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-28.30 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.77 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 81 games (-23.11 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 81 games (-22.45 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.85 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Orlando Magic
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Orlando Magic
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Orlando Magic Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Orlando Magic Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Denver Nuggets are 25-7 (.781) when winning the rebounding margin this season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 41.3 rebounds per game (2,313 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for fourth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Denver Nuggets are 18-2 (.900) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (853 turnovers/56 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Denver Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,979 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Nuggets are 42-8 (.840) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .600
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Orlando Magic are 12-59 (.169) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 46.6 rebounds per game (6,378 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Orlando Magic are 5-19 (.208) when losing the rebounding margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 47.2 rebounds per game (2,596 rebounds/55 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Magic are 19-50 (.275) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
The Magic are 5-56 (.082) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220
Injury Report: Magic vs. Nuggets – Thursday‘s Game, Feb. 9
- Gary Harris (Magic): Harris is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb. 9) game against Denver.
- Chuma Okeke (Magic): Okeke underwent an arthroscopic procedure on his knee and is expected to be out at least a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.
- Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is doubtful for Thursday’s (Feb.9) game against Orlando.
- Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb.9) game against Orlando.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,741/9,281) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (98/242) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,086/6,021) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic are shooting 43% (4,042/9,299) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Magic have averaged 52.0 points per game (10,807 points/208 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Magic have an eFG% of 50% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Magic have averaged 107.1 points per game (14,561 points/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (867 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (239 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (278 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (418 blocks/102 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (467 blocks/103 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic have averaged 6.9 steals per game (934 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Magic have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,660 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Magic have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (932 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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