Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 23

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Denver Nuggets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 17-11 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 14-16 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 70.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 away games (+20.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 72 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 away games (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.34 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.03 Units / 11% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+9.35 Units / 76% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 17-11 (+4.9 Units / 15.88% ROI).

• 21-7 against the Moneyline (-3.3 Units / -3.29% ROI)
• 18-10 against the Over for game total points (+7.03 Units / 22.85% ROI)
• 10-18 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -31.76% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 14-16 (-3.65 Units / -11.04% ROI).

• 11-19 against the Moneyline (-6.3 Units / -15.4% ROI)
• 13-17 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
• 17-13 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-20.65 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-18.95 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 85 games (-17.90 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 85 games (-17.25 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 85 games (-17.00 Units / -15% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (-26.30 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 games (-23.87 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 52 games (-23.20 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-21.60 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.03 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks are 4-15 (.211) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 28-15 (.651) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,502 points/2,466 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets have averaged 1.48 points per shot (1,752 points/1,184 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 4-15 (.211) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 28-15 (.651) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,502 points/2,466 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets have averaged 1.48 points per shot (1,752 points/1,184 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks are 4-15 (.211) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 28-15 (.651) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,502 points/2,466 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets have averaged 1.48 points per shot (1,752 points/1,184 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

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