- The Mavericks (8-6) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (9-5)
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Friday, November 18, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSW & ALT
The Denver Nuggets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Nuggets vs Mavericks Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 6-8 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 3-10 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | +9.5 -115 | O 215.5 -115 | 310 |
Dallas Mavericks | -9.5 -105 | U 215.5 -115 | -400 |
Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 69.7% confidence.
Mavericks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 86 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+17.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.54 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 92 games (+27.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+18.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 95 games (+15.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- 9-5 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 3.92% ROI)
- 7-7 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 7-7 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-10 (-8 Units / -51.95% ROI).
- 8-6 against the Moneyline (-8.65 Units / -24.06% ROI)
- 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 98 games (-39.11 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-25.62 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 99 games (-19.51 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 96 games (-15.70 Units / -14% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 87 games (-43.73 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 86 games (-26.30 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 85 games (-25.95 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 65 games (-23.40 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 87 games (-22.10 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Nuggets – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 18
- Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans has yet to play this season and no timetable for his return has been announced.
- JaVale McGee (Mavericks): McGee is probable for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Denver.
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber is out for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Denver.
- Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith is is doubtful for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Dallas.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): The Nuggets placed Jokic in the league’s health and safety protocols.
- Aaron Gordon (Nuggets): Gordon is questionable for Friday’s (Nov. 18) game against Dallas.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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