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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 9

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (4-3) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (3-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 9, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Pacers Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread, while the Pacers are 6-4 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-5.5 -110O 235.5 -110-225
Indiana Pacers +5.5 -110U 235.5 -110180

Pacers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 64.8% confidence.

Pacers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 78 games (+20.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+15.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 42 away games (+11.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 away games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 52 of their last 76 games (+27.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+18.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.26 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 49 games (+16.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.85 Units / 24% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 7-3 against the Moneyline (+1.6 Units / 5.79% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 6-4 (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

    • 5-5 against the Moneyline (+4.95 Units / 47.6% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 80 games (-35.40 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 72 games (-27.95 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 79 games (-27.01 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.10 Units / -33% ROI)
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  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-44.51 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 85 games (-27.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-25.99 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 85 games (-24.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-22.67 Units / -19% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

    The Denver Nuggets were 20-5 (.800) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (1,114 turnovers/82 games) last season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.

    The Nuggets were 38-9 (.809) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    The Nuggets are 77-22 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

    The Nuggets are 29-11 (.725) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

    The Pacers were 6-17 (.261) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Pacers are 6-17 (.261) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    The Pacers were 4-11 (.267) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

    The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    Injury Report: Pacers vs. Nuggets – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 9

  • Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): Nesmith did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against New Orleans.
  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis has yet to play this season and the Pacers haven’t provided an update on his return.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a grade 2 ankle sprain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
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  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Indiana.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is doubtful for Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Indiana.
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    Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets shot 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

    The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,489/6,894) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

    The Nuggets are shooting 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

    The Pacers averaged 25.2 assists per game (2,067 assists/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

    The Pacers averaged 49.2 points in the paint per game (4,038 points/82 games) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Pacers averaged 51.1 points in the paint per game (2,096 points/41 games) at home last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.5

    Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (143 blocks/41 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Nuggets have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (460 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (917 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Pacers averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,657 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Pacers averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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