Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2023, 9:42 AM
  • The Nuggets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Tuesday, January 24, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Nuggets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 24-22 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 23-24 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-1.5 +100O 231.5 -110-115
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 -120U 231.5 -110-105

Pelicans vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+16.58 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.46 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 87 games (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+10.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.79 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.19 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 24-22 (-0.2 Units / -0.39% ROI).

  • 33-14 against the Moneyline (+12.35 Units / 9.58% ROI)
  • 22-25 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.64% ROI)
  • 25-22 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 23-24 (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI).

  • 26-21 against the Moneyline (-1.3 Units / -1.51% ROI)
  • 27-20 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 9.67% ROI)
  • 20-27 against the Under for game total points (-9.7 Units / -18.76% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 91 games (-26.26 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 91 games (-20.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 games (-18.50 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games at home (-18.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 89 games (-29.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 84 games (-24.13 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 70 games (-23.53 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (-17.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 88 games (-17.25 Units / -17% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Denver Nuggets are 15-1 (.938) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (688 turnovers/47 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,777 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Nuggets are 40-8 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320

The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. NuggetsTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 24

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Naji Marshall (Pelicans): Marshall is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against Denver.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson sustained a right hamstring strain during Monday’s (Jan. 2) game against Philadelphia. He will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is doubtful for Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against Denver.
  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against New Orleans.
  • Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against New Orleans.
  • Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against New Orleans.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against New Orleans.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (88/209) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,924/5,710) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,579/8,970) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0

The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (512 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (835 blocks/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (397 blocks/98 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (438 blocks/103 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.