- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on AL2 | FDDT
The Denver Nuggets visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI, MI, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 30-28 against the spread, while the Pistons are 34-24 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | O | ||
| Detroit Pistons | U |
Pistons vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Friday‘s game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Pistons.
Pistons vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games (+13.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+21.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+19.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 33 games (+17.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 48 games (+17.72 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 78 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 30-28 (-0.8 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 38-21 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.12% ROI)
- 35-24 against the Over for game total points (+8.6 Units / 13.25% ROI)
- 24-35 against the Under for game total points (-14.5 Units / -22.34% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 34-24 (+7.55 Units / 11.62% ROI).
- 33-26 against the Moneyline (+17.45 Units / 21.44% ROI)
- 29-28 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.77% ROI)
- 28-29 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -6.01% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.80 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 58 games (-25.35 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games (-21.10 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 46 games (-20.50 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 44 games (-19.95 Units / -40% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 74 games (-27.70 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 44 away games (-26.31 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 95 games (-22.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.50 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-22.20 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Detroit Pistons
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Nuggets are 12-4 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 13.8 made three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 21-4 (.840) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Nuggets are 41-16 (.719) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.3 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-highest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 34-5 (.872) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (606 points/56 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.7 points in the paint per game (3,344 points/56 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (1,287/2,538) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Nuggets have averaged 62.4 points in the paint per game (1,746 points/28 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (556 points/55 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Pistons have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (544 points/28 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2
The Pistons had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,080 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,026 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (660 blocks/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pistons have averaged 7.0 steals per game (960 steals/137 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pistons have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (326 blocks/67 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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