Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ALT | FDSW

The Denver Nuggets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 37-29 against the spread, while the Spurs are 38-27 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Spurs.

Spurs vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 62.3% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.93 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+19.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 37-29 (+5.1 Units / 7.02% ROI).

• 40-26 against the Moneyline (+1.55 Units / 0.93% ROI)
• 41-25 against the Over for game total points (+13.53 Units / 18.64% ROI)
• 25-41 against the Under for game total points (-20.1 Units / -27.66% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 38-27 (+8.3 Units / 11.61% ROI).

• 48-17 against the Moneyline (+24.85 Units / 13.4% ROI)
• 27-38 against the Over for game total points (-14.8 Units / -20.7% ROI)
• 38-27 against the Under for game total points (+8.3 Units / 11.61% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.55 Units / -32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-14.20 Units / -30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-11.80 Units / -21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 16 games (-11.55 Units / -64% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 away games (-20.90 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 35 away games (-18.50 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 25 away games (-15.75 Units / -55% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.36 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-11.25 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Nuggets are 33-7 (.825) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets are 17-8 (.680) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Nuggets are 5-2 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Spurs are 9-2 (.818) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

The Spurs are undefeated (21-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

The Spurs are 29-6 (.829) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Spurs are 21-1 (.955) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .645

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (7,946 points/5,732 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (4,295 points/3,033 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (895 assists/ 413 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have averaged 1.33 points per shot (7,716 points/5,795 shots) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs have averaged 16.4 fast break points per game (1,064 points/65 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (454 steals/66 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,404 rebounds/66 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (262 blocks/66 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,447 rebounds/65 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs blocked 455 shots last season — 4th most among NBA teams

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