Basketball
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 7

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (4-3) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (5-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Monday, November 7, 2022 at 9:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in San Antonio.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Nuggets vs Spurs Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 5-4 against the spread, while the Spurs are 5-5 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-7.5 -115O 234.5 -110-350
San Antonio Spurs +7.5 -105U 234.5 -110260

Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 69.1% confidence.

Spurs vs Nuggets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+20.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+19.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 41 away games (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.60 Units / 19% ROI)
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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+15.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 77 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.93 Units / 12% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

    • 6-3 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 2.44% ROI)
    • 5-4 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)
    • 4-5 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 5-5 (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • 5-5 against the Moneyline (+8.7 Units / 86.57% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
    • 5-5 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 60 games (-23.53 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.88 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (-17.87 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 84 games (-15.86 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 27 games at home (-15.85 Units / -51% ROI)
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  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 83 games (-45.51 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 84 games (-28.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-28.04 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 84 games (-23.67 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 84 games (-22.95 Units / -25% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

    The Nuggets are 77-22 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

    The Nuggets were 12-3 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

    The Nuggets are 56-30 (.651) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

    The Nuggets were 38-9 (.809) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .707

    San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

    The Spurs were 4-20 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200

    The Spurs were 4-7 (.364) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

    The Spurs are 23-67 (.256) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

    The Spurs are 18-37 (.327) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

    Injury Report: Spurs vs. Nuggets – Monday‘s Game, Nov. 7

  • Zach Collins (Spurs): Collins is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Denver.
  • Jordan Hall (Spurs): Hall is probable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Denver.
  • Blake Wesley (Spurs): Wesley is expected to miss 6-8 weeks, according to Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Denver.
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  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Smith is doubtful for Monday’s (Nov.7) game against San Antonio.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is doubtful for Monday’s (Nov.7) game against San Antonio.
  • Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is probable for Monday’s (Nov.7) game against San Antonio.
    •

    Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

    The Nuggets had a TS% of 53% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Nuggets have a TS% of 55% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

    The Nuggets averaged 112.7 points per game (9,243 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

    San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (4,048 assists/ 1,799 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,289 assists/ 1,008 TOs) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Spurs averaged 53.7 points in the paint per game (2,202 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.4

    The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,025 assists/ 889 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (314 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (628 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Spurs stole the ball 625 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams

    The Spurs blocked 403 shots last season — 9th most among NBA teams

    The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (385 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Spurs have blocked 385 shots on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th most among NBA teams

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