Nuggets vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 06, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Suns (44-35) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (52-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Thursday, April 6, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Denver Nuggets visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Suns Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 42-36 against the spread, while the Suns are 41-36 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+12.5 -115O 222.5 -110+450
Phoenix Suns -12.5 -105U 222.5 -110-650

Suns vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 67.0% confidence.

Suns vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 75 games (+30.22 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.62 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+18.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 80 games (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.58 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.78 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.76% ROI).

  • 52-27 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.09% ROI)
  • 36-42 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -11.74% ROI)
  • 42-36 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 2.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 41-36 (+1.4 Units / 1.61% ROI).

  • 44-35 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 0.39% ROI)
  • 39-38 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.22% ROI)
  • 38-39 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.64% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.63 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 92 games (-26.14 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-25.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-24.34 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.84 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 75 games (-39.93 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games (-25.77 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 42 away games (-19.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (-19.35 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 42 away games (-18.40 Units / -38% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Phoenix Suns are 7-17 (.292) when losing the rebounding margin this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 57.2 rebounds per game (3,892 rebounds/68 games) this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Suns are 39-9 (.812) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 85-32 (.726) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns are 33-10 (.767) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Suns vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Apr. 6

  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Phoenix.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Phoenix.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Thursday’s (Apr.6) game against Phoenix.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,024 assists/ 1,456 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,966 assists/ 1,014 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,872 assists/ 1,468 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (6,031 assists/ 2,912 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,201 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,718 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (318 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Suns have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,452 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.