- The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | tru | Max
The Denver Nuggets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The Nuggets vs Thunder Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 44-47 against the spread, while the Thunder are 56-31 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | +9.5 -105 | O 221.5 -110 | +340 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -9.5 -115 | U 221.5 -110 | -450 |
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 91 games (+15.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games (+13.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 91 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 92 games (+22.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 76 games (+20.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 72 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 65 of their last 92 games (+12.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 44-47 (-7.7 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 56-37 against the Moneyline (+6.25 Units / 2.41% ROI)
- 54-39 against the Over for game total points (+11.1 Units / 10.85% ROI)
- 39-54 against the Under for game total points (-20.4 Units / -19.94% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 56-31 (+21.9 Units / 21.88% ROI).
- 74-17 against the Moneyline (+18.2 Units / 3.6% ROI)
- 49-41 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 3.9% ROI)
- 41-49 against the Under for game total points (-12.9 Units / -12.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-24.10 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.25 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 72 games (-20.15 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.48 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (-18.16 Units / -11% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 91 games (-28.85 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 95 games (-26.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.02 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.40 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.08 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .103
The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090
The Nuggets are 7-6 (.538) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 81-11 (.880) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
The Thunder are 57-10 (.851) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Nuggets have averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have blocked 859 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,977 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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