Basketball
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 3

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 03, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (4-3) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Thursday, November 3, 2022 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSOK & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Thunder Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 3-4 against the spread, while the Thunder are 6-1 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-6.5 -110O 228.5 -110-250
Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 -110U 228.5 -110200

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 73.6% confidence.

Thunder vs Nuggets Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 82 games (+20.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+17.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.78 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.55 Units / 26% ROI)
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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 82 games (+20.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+18.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 games (+17.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

    • 4-3 against the Moneyline (-1.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)
    • 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
    • 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 6-1 (+4.95 Units / 64.71% ROI).

    • 4-3 against the Moneyline (+6 Units / 79.47% ROI)
    • 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
    • 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 57 games (-32.05 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.41 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 56 games (-15.94 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 79 games (-15.06 Units / -19% ROI)
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  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 81 games (-44.67 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 87 games (-32.61 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 82 games (-28.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.03 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-23.15 Units / -20% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

    The Denver Nuggets were 20-5 (.800) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,121 turnovers/81 games) last season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

    The Nuggets are 22-17 (.564) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

    The Nuggets are 20-15 (.571) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

    The Thunder are 15-31 (.326) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

    The Thunder are 17-44 (.279) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Thunder were 6-31 (.162) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    The Thunder are winless (0-29) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .145

    Injury Report: Thunder vs. Nuggets – Thursday‘s Game, Nov. 3

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
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  • Bones Hyland (Nuggets): Hyland is Questionable for Thursday’s (Nov. 3) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Ish Smith (Nuggets): Ish is Questionable for Thursday’s (Nov. 3) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
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    Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets shot 51% (1,834/3,634) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets averaged 15.1 assists per game (1,238 assists/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

    The Nuggets shot 48% (3,416/7,078) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Nuggets had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder shot 43% (3,141/7,310) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Thunder averaged 1.16 points per shot (8,506 points/7,310 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

    The Thunder are shooting 43% (5,936/13,648) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

    The Thunder had an eFG% of 50% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Nuggets averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,864 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Nuggets averaged 3.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (314 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (628 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Thunder averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,885 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Thunder have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (326 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Thunder stole the ball 623 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

    The Thunder have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,453 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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