Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 25

• The Nuggets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 45-40 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 39-46 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 67.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.63 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.34 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 45-40 (+0.9 Units / 0.96% ROI).

• 55-30 against the Moneyline (+6.6 Units / 2.2% ROI)
• 53-32 against the Over for game total points (+17.83 Units / 19.08% ROI)
• 32-53 against the Under for game total points (-26.3 Units / -28.11% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 39-46 (-11.65 Units / -12.47% ROI).

• 51-34 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -4.4% ROI)
• 39-46 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -12.41% ROI)
• 46-39 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 3.32% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.35 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games at home (-20.90 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (-18.80 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.05 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-18.00 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-28.90 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 away games (-20.10 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.90 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.45 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-13.40 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Nuggets are 0-14 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have allowed 110.2 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 31-15 (.674) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Timberwolves are 24-11 (.686) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Timberwolves are 22-7 (.759) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves are 48-32 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,161/2,934) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (512 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (565/1,393) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves have averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,172 points/82 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (560 steals/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,039 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,070 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Nuggets have averaged 7.3 steals per game (1,801 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have blocked 476 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (738 blocks/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have allowed 12.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

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