Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 30

• The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
• Watch the game on ESPN

The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-118).

The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 46-41 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 40-47 against the spread.

Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.

Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.49 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+13.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 46-41 (+0.8 Units / 0.83% ROI).

• 56-31 against the Moneyline (+6.4 Units / 2.1% ROI)
• 54-33 against the Over for game total points (+17.73 Units / 18.53% ROI)
• 33-54 against the Under for game total points (-26.4 Units / -27.57% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 40-47 (-11.75 Units / -12.28% ROI).

• 52-35 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -4.37% ROI)
• 40-47 against the Over for game total points (-11.7 Units / -12.23% ROI)
• 47-40 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 3.13% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-22.95 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.25 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.25 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-19.60 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-26.90 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-18.00 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.90 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.45 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.30 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are 15-2 (.882) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .095

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Timberwolves are 22-7 (.759) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Timberwolves are 46-29 (.613) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Timberwolves are 41-17 (.707) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,161/2,934) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (565/1,393) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,155 assists/ 512 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (3,789 assists/ 1,597 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (1,128/3,049) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495/7,260) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,039 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (560 steals/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,070 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (326 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have blocked 476 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,378 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM

Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.