- The Nuggets (24-12) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (16-21)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Monday, January 2, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSN & ALT
The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 18-18 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 14-23 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | -2.5 -110 | O 233.5 -110 | -140 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +2.5 -110 | U 233.5 -110 | +115 |
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 57.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Nuggets Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 81 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 88 games (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Timberwolves Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.82 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+18.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.62 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+17.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+16.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 18-18 (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 24-12 against the Moneyline (+5.85 Units / 6.62% ROI)
- 18-18 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 18-18 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 14-23 (-11.3 Units / -27.73% ROI).
- 16-21 against the Moneyline (-14.7 Units / -20.66% ROI)
- 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -12.29% ROI)
- 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.19% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Timberwolves, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 87 games (-33.11 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 91 games (-30.81 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 games (-24.29 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 54 games (-23.95 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 51 games (-22.84 Units / -40% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-27.15 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 89 games (-23.36 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-19.05 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-18.55 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608
The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets – Monday‘s Game, Jan. 2
- Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince doesn’t have a potential return date, according to Dane Moore of BringMeTheNews.com.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
- Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said McLaughlin will re-evaluated in about a week.
- Jeff Green (Nuggets): Green is dealing with fractured left hand and sprained finger and will be re-evaluated in a month, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
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