Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 08, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (14-9) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (13-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Thursday, December 8, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 11-13 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 15-9 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-1.5 -105O 227.5 -110-115
Portland Trail Blazers +1.5 -115U 227.5 -110-105

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+12.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 49 games (+16.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.88 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 68 games (+13.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+12.29 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-13 (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 14-10 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -3.81% ROI)
  • 12-12 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 12-12 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 15-9 (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 13-11 against the Moneyline (+11 Units / 36.07% ROI)
  • 10-13 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -16.29% ROI)
  • 13-10 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 7.58% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 81 games (-33.71 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 81 games (-31.42 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.43 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.66 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 61 games (-20.96 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (-40.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (-24.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.81 Units / -23% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-37 (.140) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,314 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 8-34 (.190) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Trail Blazers are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsThursday‘s Game, Dec. 8

  • Nassir Little (Trail Blazers): The Trailblazers announced that Little will miss six weeks with a mild femoral head impaction fracture.
  • Josh Hart (Trail Blazers): Hart is probable for Thursday’s (Dec. 8) game against Denver.
  • Keon Johnson (Trail Blazers): Johnson is probable for Thursday’s (Dec. 8) game against Denver.
  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II will make his season debut at the earliest on Nov. 15 against San Antonio, according to Chris Haynes of Yahoo Sports.
  • Drew Eubanks (Trail Blazers): Eubanks is probable for Thursday’s (Dec. 8) game against Denver.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is probable for Thursday’s (Dec. 8) game against Portland..
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Nuggets coach Michael Malone said that Porter doesn’t have a timeframe for a return.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.2 points in the paint per game (3,376 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (714 points/515 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers averaged 115.9 points per game (8,345 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (7,016 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.4

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,534 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (196 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (51 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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