- The Nuggets are a 7.5-point home favorite against the Suns.
- The Nuggets have won 12 straight home games against teams under .500.
- My Nuggets vs. Suns prediction is for the Nuggets to cover the spread.
Friday’s marquee NBA showcase sees the Suns travel to Denver for a meeting with the Nuggets.
Phoenix arrives with some momentum after a 119-117 win over the Clippers on Tuesday. However, it came with a cost as Bradley Beal played only 14 minutes.
The Nuggets earned a 116-110 win over the Kings on Wednesday. After a nine-game winning streak, Denver is 3-3 SU over its previous six games.
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Nuggets vs. Suns Odds, NBA
Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction
Based on Denver’s outstanding home record and their previous success against the Suns this season, my Nuggets vs. Suns prediction is the Nuggets Spread (-7.5, -110).
Fading the Suns this season has proved a profitable position for bettors. Opponents are 39-22-1 ATS against the Suns this year, including a 2-1 benchmark for the Nuggets.
Over their last seven road games, Phoenix has covered the spread only twice.
When these teams last met in Denver, the Nuggets produced a dominant performance.
Although it came all the way back on December 23 against a Devin Booker-less Phoenix, the Nuggets captured a 117-90 win over Phoenix.
From a matchup standpoint, there’s a massive advantage for the Nuggets offense.
Denver ranks third in adjusted offensive rating this year while Phoenix ranks 27th of 30th in adjusted defensive rating, per dunksandthrees.com.
This season, the Nuggets have played five home games against teams 25th or worse in adjusted defensive rating.
Mike Malone’s side is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in those games. Their average margin of victory in those five games? A whopping 25 points per game.
Granted the Suns are the only team amongst that group with a top-half adjusted rated offense (11th).
However, if this game turns into a track meet, I like the Nuggets to score enough points to cover a big spread.
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