Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Denver Nuggets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 32-25 against the spread, while the Warriors are 25-31 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Warriors.

Warriors vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+23.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.53 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-25 (+4.5 Units / 7.17% ROI).

• 36-21 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 3% ROI)
• 36-21 against the Over for game total points (+12.93 Units / 20.63% ROI)
• 21-36 against the Under for game total points (-18.6 Units / -29.64% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 25-31 (-9.1 Units / -14.77% ROI).

• 29-27 against the Moneyline (-12.55 Units / -9.48% ROI)
• 33-23 against the Over for game total points (+7.7 Units / 12.5% ROI)
• 23-33 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -21.59% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (-21.10 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-20.60 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.70 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-16.75 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.90 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.00 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.18 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 22 away games (-14.50 Units / -57% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.85 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Nuggets are 32-7 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Nuggets were 7-6 (.538) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Warriors are 8-9 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Warriors are 17-7 (.708) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

The Warriors are 5-5 (.500) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,803 points/2,667 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (789/1,991) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 16.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Warriors have averaged 39.6 points in the paint per game (1,070 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.3

The Warriors have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,182 points/56 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (869 turnovers/56 games) this season — 6th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have forced 12.1 turnovers per game (687 turnovers/57 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (700 steals/68 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have 556 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

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