Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (27-16) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (23-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Monday, January 16, 2023 at 2:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSWI & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 26-18 against the spread, while the Bucks are 22-19 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+5.5 -115O 228.5 -110+180
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -105U 228.5 -110-225

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 74.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+17.07 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+16.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 66 games (+21.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.34 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 92 games (+15.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.71 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 26-18 (+6.2 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 23-21 against the Moneyline (+13.45 Units / 24.61% ROI)
  • 21-23 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -8.88% ROI)
  • 23-21 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 22-19 (+1.1 Units / 2.33% ROI).

  • 27-16 against the Moneyline (-2.05 Units / -2.03% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -11.21% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 2.11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 90 games (-38.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 66 games (-28.65 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 71 games (-25.83 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 57 games (-21.95 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 68 games (-40.15 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 68 games (-35.20 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-28.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.50 Units / -21% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Bucks vs. PacersMonday‘s Game, Jan. 16

  • Jrue Holiday (Bucks): Holiday is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Indiana.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton hasn’t played since Dec. 15 against Memphis. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Ingles is out for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Indiana.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Indiana.
  • Bobby Portis (Bucks): Portis is probable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Indiana.
  • Serge Ibaka (Bucks): Ibaka is not expected to rejoin the team when they return to Milwaukee following a four-game road trip, according to Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Milwaukee.
  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis underwent surgery and is considered out indefinitely, according to Tony East of WTHR Channel 13 Indianapolis.
  • Goga Bitadze (Pacers): Bitadze is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Milwaukee.
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): The Pacers announced that Haliburton suffered a sprained elbow and a mild knee bruise and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): The Pacers announced that Brown is out indefinitely with a stress reaction in his right tibia.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.