Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 15

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 29-38 against the spread, while the Bucks are 28-38 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 63.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 62.5% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+7.91 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-38 (-12.8 Units / -17.37% ROI).

  • 15-52 against the Moneyline (-27.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 31-36 against the Over for game total points (-8.6 Units / -11.67% ROI)
  • 36-31 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 2.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 28-38 (-13.8 Units / -19.02% ROI).

  • 27-39 against the Moneyline (-11.5 Units / -11.63% ROI)
  • 28-38 against the Over for game total points (-13.8 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • 38-28 against the Under for game total points (+7.2 Units / 9.92% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.05 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-18.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-18.30 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.00 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.80 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 away games (-17.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 away games (-16.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 away games (-16.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-15.60 Units / -27% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are 4-24 (.143) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Pacers are 4-18 (.182) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Pacers are 7-24 (.226) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are 4-27 (.129) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

The Bucks are winless (0-12) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Bucks were 21-13 (.618) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Bucks were 15-10 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers had a TS% of 54% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (382 points/66 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (739 points/66 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (128/296) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Bucks have a TS% of 56% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 11.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.2

The Pacers have allowed 11.6 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (489 steals/66 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,410 rebounds/230 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.