Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 23, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDIN | FDWI

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 6-8 against the spread, while the Bucks are 5-9 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 75.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 37 games (+16.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+14.77 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+9.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 6-8 (-2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI).

  • 6-9 against the Moneyline (-7.1 Units / -28.57% ROI)
  • 11-4 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 40% ROI)
  • 4-11 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 5-9 (-4.9 Units / -29.7% ROI).

  • 6-9 against the Moneyline (-10.95 Units / -31.24% ROI)
  • 5-10 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 10-5 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 71 games (-62.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 89 games (-30.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 77 games (-26.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-27.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-22.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 90 games (-22.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 99 games (-22.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 39 away games (-20.35 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .112

The Pacers are 27-9 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633

The Pacers are 11-7 (.611) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Pacers are 5-11 (.312) when turning the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks were 26-12 (.684) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks are 25-14 (.641) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Bucks are 55-22 (.714) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 33-12 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (2,874 points/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 71% from the free throw line (241/339) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,626 points/4,103 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Bucks have averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (219 rebounds/15 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,280 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 29.9 points in the paint per game (2,896 points/97 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.2

The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,844 rebounds/179 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (555 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,590 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (84 blocks/15 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.