Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSOH & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 40-38 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 40-34 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+12.5 -115O 230.5 -115+500
Cleveland Cavaliers -12.5 -105U 230.5 -115-700

Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 76.9% confidence.

Cavaliers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.23 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.19 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.07 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.02 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 77 games (+21.79 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.16 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 39 games at home (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.77 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 40-38 (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI).

  • 34-44 against the Moneyline (+9.55 Units / 9.98% ROI)
  • 38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.71% ROI)
  • 39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 40-34 (+2.55 Units / 2.97% ROI).

  • 48-30 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 2.47% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 79 games (-31.64 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (-29.38 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.29 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.23 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-20.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 82 games (-33.50 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 60 games (-28.71 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-25.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 65 games (-23.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 60 games (-23.12 Units / -35% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Indiana Pacers are 9-37 (.196) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for second-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 19-54 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 55.9 rebounds per game (8,440 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 18-35 (.340) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pacers are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are 1-22 (.043) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

The Cavaliers are 14-44 (.241) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Cavaliers are 34-13 (.723) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Cavaliers are 25-15 (.625) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .512

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. PacersSunday‘s Game, Apr. 2

  • Isaac Okoro (Cavaliers): Okoro is out for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Indiana.
  • Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers): Allen is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Indiana.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): Windler is out for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Indiana.
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is out for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Cleveland.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is out for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Cleveland.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
  • Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Cleveland.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (1,282 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (3,564 points/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (699 points/69 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (602 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 107.4 points per game (24,059 points/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 52.1 points per game (11,627 points/223 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55.0

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (661 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,304 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,331 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (414 blocks/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,387 rebounds/70 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,799 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (973 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,086 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.