Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (17-11) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (14-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Friday, December 16, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOH & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 16-13 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 15-11 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+8.5 -115O 222.5 -110+240
Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 -105U 222.5 -110-300

Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 68.2% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 52 of their last 81 games (+22.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 74 games (+20.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+14.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.72 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 16-13 (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 15-14 against the Moneyline (+8.2 Units / 21.41% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 15-11 (+2.9 Units / 9.08% ROI).

  • 18-11 against the Moneyline (+2.9 Units / 4.97% ROI)
  • 11-18 against the Over for game total points (-8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI)
  • 18-11 against the Under for game total points (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.11 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 80 games (-17.64 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 82 games (-14.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 76 games (-14.41 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-14.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-40.90 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 81 games (-37.20 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 81 games (-30.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-24.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Cavaliers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Cavaliers are 25-37 (.403) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 14-63 (.182) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. PacersFriday‘s Game, Dec. 16

  • Dean Wade (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Wade has an AC joint sprain and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks
  • Ricky Rubio (Cavaliers): Rubio will miss the start of the season as he recovers from a left ACL tear.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Windler will miss another 4-6 weeks.
  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis underwent surgery and is considered out indefinitely, according to Tony East of WTHR Channel 13 Indianapolis.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a grade 2 ankle sprain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): The Pacers announced that Brown is out indefinitely with a stress reaction in his right tibia.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from three (91/211) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (170/426) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (929 points/675 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 5.6 steals per game (73 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/13 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,188 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (640 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.