Pacers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

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  • The Favorite Team are Favorite Spread favorites vs. the Underdog Team
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The visit to take on the on . Tipoff is scheduled for in .

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The vs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the are 22-22 against the spread, while the are 24-18 against the spread.


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vs. Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
O
U

vs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win ‘s game with 78.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both and .

vs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for ‘s game with 69.1% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+12.41 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 10-34 against the Moneyline (-23.25 Units / -44.5% ROI)
  • 16-28 against the Over for game total points (-14.8 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • 28-16 against the Under for game total points (+10.4 Units / 21.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the have gone 24-18 (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 26-16 against the Moneyline (-8.65 Units / -8.2% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games at home (-17.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.25 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-16.84 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-14.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.60 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 45 games (-24.25 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.30 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 45 away games (-22.95 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.10 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Pacers are 2-19 (.095) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pacers are 2-12 (.143) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .517

The Pacers are 3-24 (.111) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Pacers are 6-19 (.240) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

: Keys to the Game vs. the

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics are 40-12 (.769) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Celtics are 23-7 (.767) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Celtics were 39-8 (.830) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have a TS% of 48% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers are shooting 44% (1,740/3,930) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics made 17.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (507 turnovers/42 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Celtics have made 16.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Pacers have blocked 225 shots this season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

The Pacers have allowed 54.8 points in the paint per game (11,400 points/208 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (22,363 points/18,486 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (615 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.