Pacers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 25

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 25, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Hawks (36-37) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (33-41)
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 5:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Hawks Over/Under is 249.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 39-35 against the spread, while the Hawks are 33-39 against the spread.


Bet now on Hawks vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pacers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+10.5 -115O 249.5 -115+333
Atlanta Hawks -10.5 -105U 249.5 -115-450

Hawks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 71.0% confidence.

Hawks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Hawks vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.52 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 69 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.02 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.17 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (+9.61 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.11 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+10.47 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 39-35 (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI).

  • 33-41 against the Moneyline (+10.65 Units / 11.61% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.77% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 33-39 (-9.9 Units / -12.33% ROI).

  • 36-37 against the Moneyline (-18.65 Units / -13.49% ROI)
  • 42-31 against the Over for game total points (+7.9 Units / 9.84% ROI)
  • 31-42 against the Under for game total points (-15.2 Units / -18.93% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 68 games (-31.29 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 68 games (-26.68 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 88 games (-22.61 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-22.43 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-21.55 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-35.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 82 games (-30.65 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 56 games (-24.71 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 61 games (-23.07 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-20.45 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Indiana Pacers are 9-37 (.196) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for second-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 19-54 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 55.9 rebounds per game (8,440 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 18-35 (.340) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pacers are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Atlanta Hawks are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 60-13 (.822) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771

The Hawks are 21-12 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

The Hawks are 7-14 (.333) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

Injury Report: Hawks vs. PacersSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 25

  • De’Andre Hunter (Hawks): The Hawks have listed Hunter as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 25) against the Pacers.
  • Jalen Johnson (Hawks): The Hawks announced that Johnson suffered a mild left groin strain and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Trae Young (Hawks): The Hawks have listed Young as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Mar. 25) against the Pacers.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): The Pacers have listed Duarte as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 24) against the Celtics.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (1,282 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (3,564 points/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (699 points/69 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (602 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (890 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (2,810 turnovers/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks are shooting 48% (3,059/6,352) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks have a 24% free throw rate (1,509 free throw attempts/6,352 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (661 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,304 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,331 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (414 blocks/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,073 steals/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,576 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (515 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (774 steals/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on Hawks vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.