Pacers vs Heat Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Dec. 27

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | FDIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 15-16 against the spread, while the Heat are 16-14 against the spread.

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Pacers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 69.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Heat.

Heat vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.8% confidence.

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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 60 of their last 98 games (+31.54 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 62 of their last 97 games (+21.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 100 games (+19.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+16.13 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 85 games (+25.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 90 games (+22.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 86 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 15-16 (-2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI).

• 6-25 against the Moneyline (-20.4 Units / -53.4% ROI)
• 12-19 against the Over for game total points (-8.9 Units / -26.1% ROI)
• 19-12 against the Under for game total points (+5.8 Units / 17.01% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 16-14 (+0.6 Units / 1.76% ROI).

• 16-15 against the Moneyline (-1.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)
• 14-16 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.56% ROI)
• 16-14 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.76% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 91 games (-35.88 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-28.99 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.03 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 91 games (-25.40 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 88 games (-23.50 Units / -15% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 89 games (-30.00 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 89 games (-29.06 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 89 games (-28.10 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-25.45 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-25.20 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat
• Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Pacers have an eFG% of 47% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have a TS% of 45% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (327 points/31 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,704 points/31 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have an eFG% of 47% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have a TS% of 45% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (327 points/31 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,704 points/31 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have an eFG% of 47% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have a TS% of 45% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (327 points/31 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,704 points/31 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

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