Pacers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 8

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (29-25) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (25-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Wednesday, February 8, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Miami-Dade Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Heat Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 29-26 against the spread, while the Heat are 21-31 against the spread.


Bet now on Heat vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pacers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+6.5 -105O 222.5 -115+220
Miami Heat -6.5 -115U 222.5 -115-275

Heat vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.

Heat vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Heat vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 79 games (+21.49 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+17.51 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.54 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+14.64 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.04 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.48 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-26 (+0.4 Units / 0.66% ROI).

  • 25-30 against the Moneyline (+6.55 Units / 9.98% ROI)
  • 25-30 against the Over for game total points (-8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 30-25 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 21-31 (-13.1 Units / -22.05% ROI).

  • 29-25 against the Moneyline (-13.95 Units / -13.7% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Over for game total points (-10 Units / -16.84% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 57 games (-21.89 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 98 games (-20.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-20.25 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.49 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-17.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 79 games (-42.25 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 79 games (-39.15 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 49 games (-18.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 games (-17.99 Units / -37% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Indiana Pacers are 8-13 (.381) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Miami Heat have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (682 turnovers/54 games) this season — fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 8-34 (.190) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Miami Heat made 12.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 34-60 (.362) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pacers are 6-16 (.273) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .474

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Miami Heat are 17-6 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin this season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 42.2 rebounds per game (2,321 rebounds/55 games) this season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Miami Heat are 53-14 (.791) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 43.2 rebounds per game (5,917 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Heat are 43-28 (.606) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Heat are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

Injury Report: Heat vs. PacersWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 8

  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo is OUT for Wednesday’s (Feb 8) game against Indiana.
  • Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry will miss at least the next three games, according to Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald.
  • Nikola Jovic (Heat): Jovic is sidelined for 4 weeks with a lower-back stress reaction and will then be re-evaluated.
  • Orlando Robinson (Heat): Robinson is probable for Wednesday’s (Feb 8) game against Indiana.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
  • Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson will have surgery and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is probable for Wednesday’s (Feb 8) game against Indiana.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is questionable for Wednesday’s (Feb 8) game against Miami.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 19.0 fast break points per game (1,046 points/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 8.8 fast break points per game (1,832 points/209 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Pacers are shooting 29% from three (32/110) in the second half in the last two weeks — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pacers have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (3,328 points/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 51.8 points per game (2,796 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0

The Heat have averaged 52.6 points per game (7,158 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.9

The Heat have averaged 108.5 points per game (5,859 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Heat averaged 108.1 points per game (7,781 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (612 blocks/103 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (631 blocks/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,243 blocks/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,858 rebounds/209 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (157 blocks/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (200 blocks/67 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (708 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (357 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Heat vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.