Pacers vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Pacers (32-39) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Hornets (22-50)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Monday, March 20, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Charlotte.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Hornets Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 38-33 against the spread, while the Hornets are 31-39 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-2.5 -105O 234.5 -110-130
Charlotte Hornets +2.5 -115U 234.5 -110+105

Hornets vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.

Hornets vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Hornets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+16.28 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.58 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 66 games (+12.89 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.43 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+15.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 56 games (+14.32 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+14.02 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 56 games (+11.51 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 38-33 (+1.7 Units / 2.18% ROI).

  • 32-39 against the Moneyline (+9.95 Units / 11.26% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 31-39 (-11.9 Units / -15.03% ROI).

  • 22-50 against the Moneyline (-9.4 Units / -11.78% ROI)
  • 32-40 against the Over for game total points (-12 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 40-32 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 50 games (-29.29 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 50 games (-27.49 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 84 games (-26.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 68 games (-24.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 65 games (-20.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 81 games (-39.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 81 games (-35.85 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 81 games (-25.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-22.53 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 58 games (-21.64 Units / -32% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Indiana Pacers are 9-37 (.196) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for second-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 19-54 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 55.9 rebounds per game (8,440 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Pacers are 18-35 (.340) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pacers are 27-49 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Hornets are 5-25 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Hornets are 23-43 (.348) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Hornets are 10-24 (.294) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Hornets are 21-34 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Injury Report: Hornets vs. PacersMonday‘s Game, Mar. 20

  • LaMelo Ball (Hornets): Ball is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a fractured right ankle, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Mark Williams (Hornets): Williams’ status for the remainder of the season is murky, according to Roderick Boone of The Charlotte Observer.
  • Cody Martin (Hornets): Martin hasn’t played since Jan. 14 against Boston. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton will miss the Pacers’ next three games, according to Jim Owczarski of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Pacers): Mathurn is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Charlotte.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.
  • Isaiah Jackson (Pacers): Jackson is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Charlotte.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Charlotte.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (1,282 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 16.0 fast break points per game (3,564 points/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pacers have averaged 10.1 fast break points per game (699 points/69 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (602 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,946 assists/ 1,001 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (754/2,279) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets have a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (372/1,126) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (661 blocks/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Pacers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,304 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (1,331 blocks/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (414 blocks/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,262 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets have blocked 763 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (575 blocks/110 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Hornets have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,827 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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