Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

  • The Mavericks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDIN | KFAA

The Indiana Pacers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:45pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 3-3 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 3-3 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+5.5 -115O 237.5 -110+170
Dallas Mavericks -5.5 -105U 237.5 -110-210

Mavericks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Monday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+18.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 100 games (+14.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 100 games (+14.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 96 games (+7.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-4 against the Moneyline (-3.95 Units / -38.16% ROI)
  • 4-2 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 2-4 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-2 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -3.9% ROI)
  • 2-3 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 3-2 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-32.35 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-26.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 26 games at home (-23.45 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-20.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-20.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-30.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 100 games (-28.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 100 games (-28.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-23.25 Units / -20% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pacers are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .114

The Pacers were 24-8 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks were 7-8 (.467) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Mavericks were 13-24 (.351) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. PacersMonday‘s Game, Nov. 4

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • Indiana Pacers – No Injuries Reported

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers stole the ball 631 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks allowed 11.1 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3


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