Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 26, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (20-12) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (17-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Monday, December 26, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 19-14 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 17-15 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+2.5 -110O 234.5 -110+115
New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 -110U 234.5 -110-140

Pelicans vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 65.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+20.62 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+17.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 72 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 89 games (+19.18 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.33 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.23 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 19-14 (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI).

  • 17-16 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 27.36% ROI)
  • 14-19 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI)
  • 19-14 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 17-15 (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 20-12 against the Moneyline (+1.75 Units / 2.64% ROI)
  • 19-13 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI)
  • 13-19 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 89 games (-29.90 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-21.95 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-19.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 82 games (-37.00 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 82 games (-34.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 72 games (-27.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 81 games (-26.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-20.30 Units / -22% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. PacersMonday‘s Game, Dec. 26

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Indiana.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is out for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Indiana.
  • Jalen Smith (Pacers): Smith is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against New Orleans.
  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis underwent surgery and is considered out indefinitely, according to Tony East of WTHR Channel 13 Indianapolis.
  • Aaron Nesmith (Pacers): Nesmith is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against New Orleans.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): The Pacers announced that Brown is out indefinitely with a stress reaction in his right tibia.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.