Pacers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers (28-35) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (15-47)
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on KENS & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Spurs Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 34-29 against the spread, while the Spurs are 25-37 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-6.5 -105O 237.5 -110-250
San Antonio Spurs +6.5 -115U 237.5 -110+190

Spurs vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.

Spurs vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.78 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 58 games (+15.84 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.01 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI).

  • 28-35 against the Moneyline (+6.1 Units / 8.17% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 25-37 (-15.7 Units / -23.02% ROI).

  • 15-47 against the Moneyline (-11.9 Units / -18.99% ROI)
  • 34-26 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 7.92% ROI)
  • 26-34 against the Under for game total points (-11.4 Units / -16.72% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-28.02 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 62 games (-27.74 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 55 games (-23.60 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-22.26 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-21.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 82 games (-45.75 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 82 games (-41.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 77 games (-24.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.94 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 69 games (-19.63 Units / -25% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Indiana Pacers are 8-34 (.190) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics made 14.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 16-57 (.219) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.6 rebounds per game (6,253 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 8-13 (.381) when they lose the turnover margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (714 turnovers/55 games) this season — tied for sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Indiana Pacers are 20-46 (.303) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (1,784 turnovers/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The San Antonio Spurs are 10-22 (.312) when they lose the turnover margin this season — third-worst among NBA teams. The Dallas Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/56 games) this season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Spurs are winless (0-27) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

The San Antonio Spurs are 20-42 (.323) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Dallas Mavericks have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (1,625 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The San Antonio Spurs are 6-33 (.154) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-worst among NBA teams. The Dallas Mavericks made 13.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

Injury Report: Spurs vs. PacersThursday‘s Game, Mar. 2

  • Devin Vassell (Spurs): Vassell is probable for Thursday’s (Mar.2) game against Indiana.
  • Isaiah Roby (Spurs): Roby hasn’t played since Feb. 13 against Cleveland and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford has not played since Jan. 23 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Tre Jones (Spurs): Jones is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.2) game against Indiana.
  • Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.2) game against Indiana.
  • Malaki Branham (Spurs): Branham is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.2) game against Indiana.
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is Questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.2) game against San Antonio.
  • Kendall Brown (Pacers): Brown underwent surgery and is out indefinitely, according to Tony East of SI.com.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 18.8 fast break points per game (1,052 points/56 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pacers have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (3,334 points/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pacers have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (492 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 54.4 points in the paint per game (7,456 points/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.4

The Spurs have 21.1 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (6,178 points/5,026 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,556 assists/ 1,294 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (617 blocks/104 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (631 blocks/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (331 blocks/56 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,884 rebounds/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,512 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Spurs have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,697 rebounds/55 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Spurs have averaged 7.8 steals per game (515 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (215 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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