Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 07, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (11-12) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (13-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 7, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNX & BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 14-10 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 8-15 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+5.5 -115O 237.5 -110+165
Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 -105U 237.5 -110-200

Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pacers and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games (+20.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+14.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.79 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 88 games (+17.58 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.46 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 14-10 (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 13-11 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 38.35% ROI)
  • 11-13 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI)
  • 13-11 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 8-15 (-8.5 Units / -33.53% ROI).

  • 11-12 against the Moneyline (-10.25 Units / -18.89% ROI)
  • 10-13 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI)
  • 13-10 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 7.91% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 88 games (-29.71 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 45 games (-24.04 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-21.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-20.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-19.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 77 games (-36.85 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 77 games (-34.95 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 80 games (-28.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-24.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 63 games (-22.95 Units / -32% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. PacersWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 7

  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince is expected to miss 1-2 weeks, according to coach Chris Finch.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis underwent surgery and is considered out indefinitely, according to Tony East of WTHR Channel 13 Indianapolis.
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): Haliburton is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 7) game against the Timberwolves.
  • James Johnson (Pacers): Johnson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 7) game against the Timberwolves.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a grade 2 ankle sprain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Myles Turner (Pacers): Turner is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 7) game against Minnesota.
  • T.J. McConnell (Pacers): McConnell is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 7) game against Minnesota.

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.