Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 28-24 against the spread, while the Bucks are 20-28 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.8% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 28-24 (+1.6 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 13-39 against the Moneyline (-16.8 Units / -31.11% ROI)
  • 26-26 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 26-26 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 20-28 (-10.8 Units / -20.47% ROI).

  • 19-29 against the Moneyline (-17.85 Units / -23.11% ROI)
  • 19-29 against the Over for game total points (-12.9 Units / -24.43% ROI)
  • 29-19 against the Under for game total points (+8.1 Units / 15.34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.35 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 games (-21.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-20.70 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 20 games (-15.15 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-14.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-13.15 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

The Pelicans are 3-18 (.143) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .309

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Bucks are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Bucks are 8-15 (.348) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .481

The Bucks are winless (0-9) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .219

The Bucks are 9-19 (.321) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 27.8 points in the paint per game (1,446 points/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Pelicans have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (1,522 points/52 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 52% this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (560/1,663) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 46% from three (106/233) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 61% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (554 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (341/824) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (467 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pelicans averaged 8.5 steals per game (701 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pelicans have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,754 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (197 blocks/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bucks have averaged 7.6 steals per game (363 steals/48 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.