New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers (27-17) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (26-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Monday, January 16, 2023 at 3:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOH & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 22-21 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 20-20 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+7.5 -110O 223.5 -110+220
Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5 -110U 223.5 -110-275

Cavaliers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 39 away games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.34 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+12.41 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games at home (+16.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+10.81 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.92 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 22-21 (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI).

  • 26-17 against the Moneyline (+2.8 Units / 3.41% ROI)
  • 25-18 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 10.99% ROI)
  • 18-25 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 20-20 (-2 Units / -4.13% ROI).

  • 27-17 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 3.4% ROI)
  • 21-23 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -8.88% ROI)
  • 23-21 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-22.31 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.01 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.81 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 78 games (-19.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-18.58 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.91 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-21.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 37 games (-18.31 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 44 away games (-18.00 Units / -37% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Cavaliers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Cavaliers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Cavaliers are 25-37 (.403) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 14-63 (.182) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. PelicansMonday‘s Game, Jan. 16

  • Dean Wade (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Wade has an AC joint sprain and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Windler will miss another 4-6 weeks.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson sustained a right hamstring strain during Monday’s (Jan. 2) game against Philadelphia. He will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones is questionable for Monday’s (Jan. 16) game against Cleveland.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram hasn’t played since Nov. 25 against Memphis. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from three (91/211) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (170/426) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (929 points/675 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 5.6 steals per game (73 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/13 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,188 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (640 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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