Pelicans vs Heat Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Jan. 4

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | GCSE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 21-15 against the spread, while the Heat are 19-15 against the spread.

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Pelicans vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Heat.

Heat vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 90 games (+23.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 89 games (+23.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 90 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 21-15 (+4.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

• 8-28 against the Moneyline (-14.55 Units / -39.38% ROI)
• 21-15 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
• 15-21 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -20.45% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 19-15 (+2.5 Units / 6.49% ROI).

• 19-16 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units / 1.65% ROI)
• 17-17 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.42% ROI)
• 17-17 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.42% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 91 games (-29.48 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 86 games (-29.04 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-26.28 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 85 games (-22.50 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-20.10 Units / -14% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 74 games (-25.75 Units / -33% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.70 Units / -22% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.75 Units / -19% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (369 points/35 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (629 points/35 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (750 blocks/199 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (373 blocks/99 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (369 points/35 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (629 points/35 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (750 blocks/199 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (373 blocks/99 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (369 points/35 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (629 points/35 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (750 blocks/199 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (373 blocks/99 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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