Pelicans vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 28

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 33-27 against the spread, while the Jazz are 31-28 against the spread.

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Pelicans vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Jazz vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Jazz.

Jazz vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.80 Units / 71% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+6.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games at home (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 33-27 (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI).

• 18-42 against the Moneyline (-14.45 Units / -21.23% ROI)
• 31-29 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.36% ROI)
• 29-31 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -7.73% ROI)

Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 31-28 (+0.2 Units / 0.31% ROI).

• 18-41 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 3.18% ROI)
• 35-24 against the Over for game total points (+8.6 Units / 13.25% ROI)
• 24-35 against the Under for game total points (-14.5 Units / -22.34% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:

• The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-18.80 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.80 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-13.79 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.30 Units / -23% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-18.10 Units / -35% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units / -22% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -21% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-12.40 Units / -38% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.15 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
• Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Utah Jazz Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
• Utah Jazz Defensive stats

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Pelicans are winless (0-9) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .407

The Pelicans are 5-13 (.278) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Pelicans are 9-57 (.136) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .306

The Pelicans are 3-25 (.107) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Jazz are winless (0-8) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .593

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 7-26 (.212) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

The Jazz are 3-61 (.047) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .192

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.4 points in the paint per game (1,964 points/32 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

The Pelicans have averaged 29.8 points in the paint per game (1,786 points/60 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (138/361) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (703 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (1,840 turnovers/111 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Jazz have averaged 16.7 turnovers per game (2,354 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (1,181 turnovers/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (1,012 steals/113 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (3,666 points/2,560 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 15.5 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

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