Pelicans vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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• Total (Over/Under): Not Found points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Sacramento, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at Not Found (Not Found).

The Pelicans vs Kings Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 34-29 against the spread, while the Kings are 24-39 against the spread.

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Pelicans vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Kings vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Kings.

Kings vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 63.9% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.65 Units / 61% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+6.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+13.80 Units / 80% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.75 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI).

• 19-44 against the Moneyline (-15.45 Units / -21.4% ROI)
• 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
• 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 24-39 (-18.9 Units / -27.27% ROI).

• 14-49 against the Moneyline (-12.8 Units / -18.98% ROI)
• 31-32 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
• 32-31 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-21.80 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.05 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.00 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.95 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-16.85 Units / -36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-20.30 Units / -39% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games (-14.70 Units / -38% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.75 Units / -39% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -21% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 away games (-12.20 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pelicans are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 1-18 (.053) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Pelicans are 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .215

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Kings are winless (0-7) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Kings are 3-24 (.111) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Kings are 6-32 (.158) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

The Kings are 8-29 (.216) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.4 points in the paint per game (1,964 points/32 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pelicans have averaged 29.7 points in the paint per game (1,874 points/63 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (335/1,023) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (6,941 points/5,609 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings have averaged 1.22 points per shot (3,371 points/2,753 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Kings are shooting 32% from three (297/939) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have an eFG% of 50% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,815 rebounds/227 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans averaged 8.5 steals per game (701 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pelicans have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,942 steals/227 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed an average of 1.51 points per shot (838 points/556 shots) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

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