- The Mavericks (27-25) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (26-26)
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Thursday, February 2, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSW & BSNO
The New Orleans Pelicans visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Pelicans vs Mavericks Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 24-28 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 17-33 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New Orleans Pelicans | +4.5 -105 | O 223.5 -110 | +170 |
Dallas Mavericks | -4.5 -115 | U 223.5 -110 | -210 |
Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 61.6% confidence.
Mavericks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 44 games (+18.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 44 away games (+18.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+13.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.01 Units / 24% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 100 games (+22.88 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+8.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+7.72 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-28 (-6.8 Units / -11.9% ROI).
- 26-26 against the Moneyline (-7.8 Units / -8.42% ROI)
- 29-23 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 6.47% ROI)
- 23-29 against the Under for game total points (-8.9 Units / -15.56% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 17-33 (-19.25 Units / -33.68% ROI).
- 27-25 against the Moneyline (-18.75 Units / -16.81% ROI)
- 28-24 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 2.8% ROI)
- 24-28 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -11.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 100 games (-35.61 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 43 games (-27.74 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.36 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 18 of their last 57 games (-22.65 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 89 games (-21.95 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 46 games (-24.39 Units / -47% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-24.03 Units / -23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 games (-21.88 Units / -38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 games (-19.17 Units / -35% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.75 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320
The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314
The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473
The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Mavericks are 86-20 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .679
The Mavericks are 63-11 (.851) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692
The Mavericks are 31-6 (.838) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770
The Mavericks are 41-34 (.547) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Pelicans – Thursday‘s Game, Feb. 2
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber hopes to return prior to the All-Star break, according to Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com.
- Christian Wood (Mavericks): Wood suffered a fractured left thumb and will be re-evaluated in one week, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
- Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Pelicans coach Willie Green said that Daniels will be out for a little bit of time, according to Erin Summers of Bally Sports New Orleans.
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0
The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8
The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,014 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9
The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,688 points/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7
The Mavericks have averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5
The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (572 turnovers/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (251 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (829 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Mavericks have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,481 rebounds/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,317 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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