Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 19

Dallas Mavericks logo on the left and New Orleans Pelicans logo on the right
AP Photos
  • The Mavericks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on KFAA | WFAA | GCSE | WVUE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 4-10 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 6-7 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 89 games (+18.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 71 games (+15.11 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 away games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 89 games (+23.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 93 games (+21.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+14.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 4-10 (-7 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • 4-10 against the Moneyline (-7.25 Units / -39.51% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 6-7 (-1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI).

  • 7-7 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -9.26% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 91 games (-37.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 95 games (-31.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-28.65 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-23.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-22.90 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 89 games (-24.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-23.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-19.10 Units / -20% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pelicans are 30-12 (.714) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Pelicans were 33-10 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Pelicans are 25-19 (.568) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks were 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Mavericks are 25-8 (.758) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .682

The Mavericks are 17-1 (.944) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694

The Mavericks are 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. PelicansTuesday‘s Game, Nov. 19

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • New Orleans Pelicans – No Injuries Reported

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (135 assists/ 110 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Pelicans have averaged 104.6 points per game (1,465 points/14 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (335 assists/ 217 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (2,230 turnovers/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 44.2 points in the paint per game (3,894 points/88 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.1

The Mavericks averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (485 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,138/3,402) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (453 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,476 steals/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (790 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,193 steals/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (679 steals/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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