New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (34-15) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (26-23)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Tuesday, January 31, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 24-27 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 25-24 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+6.5 -110O 231.5 -110+200
Denver Nuggets -6.5 -110U 231.5 -110-250

Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 66.6% confidence.

Nuggets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 43 away games (+19.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.01 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.46 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games at home (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+13.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.39 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 87 games (+13.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-27 (-5.7 Units / -10.17% ROI).

  • 26-25 against the Moneyline (-6.8 Units / -7.42% ROI)
  • 28-23 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI)
  • 23-28 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -13.9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 25-24 (-1.4 Units / -2.55% ROI).

  • 34-16 against the Moneyline (+11.35 Units / 8.58% ROI)
  • 23-27 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -12.18% ROI)
  • 27-23 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 3.09% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 87 games (-27.53 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 73 games (-26.92 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.44 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-20.93 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.48 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-25.03 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-23.26 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 42 games (-20.88 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320

The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Denver Nuggets are 15-1 (.938) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (688 turnovers/47 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,777 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Nuggets are 40-8 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. PelicansTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 31

  • Jack White (Nuggets): White is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 31) game against New Orleans.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is questionable for Tuesday’s (Jan. 31) game against New Orleans.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
  • Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Pelicans coach Willie Green said that Daniels will be out for a little bit of time, according to Erin Summers of Bally Sports New Orleans.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0

The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (88/209) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,924/5,710) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,579/8,970) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (512 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (835 blocks/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (397 blocks/98 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (438 blocks/103 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


Bet now on Nuggets vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.