- The Nuggets (51-24) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (38-38)
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
- Thursday, March 30, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on TNT
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Nuggets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 36-39 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 40-34 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New Orleans Pelicans | +5.5 -110 | O 226.5 -110 | +180 |
Denver Nuggets | -5.5 -110 | U 226.5 -110 | -225 |
Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 65.6% confidence.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 68 games (+25.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 36 games (+18.91 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 away games (+15.24 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 71 games (+26.22 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 32 games at home (+17.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 36-39 (-6.9 Units / -8.26% ROI).
- 38-38 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -6.54% ROI)
- 36-40 against the Over for game total points (-8 Units / -9.57% ROI)
- 40-36 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.48% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 40-34 (+2.6 Units / 3.15% ROI).
- 51-24 against the Moneyline (+6.75 Units / 3.19% ROI)
- 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.03% ROI)
- 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.94% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 71 games (-35.35 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games (-24.99 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.41 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 85 games (-17.30 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.25 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 70 games (-34.93 Units / -44% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 44 games (-23.28 Units / -48% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-21.45 Units / -27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (-21.18 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 away games (-20.95 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469
The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Pelicans – Thursday‘s Game, Mar. 30
- Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): Cancar is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against New Orleans.
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against New Orleans.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
- Peyton Watson (Nuggets): Watson is questionable for Thursday’s (Mar.30) game against New Orleans.
- Jack White (Nuggets): The Nuggets placed White in the league’s health and safety protocols.
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
- Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Alvarado will be re-evaluated in 2-3 weeks.
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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