New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (25-17) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (12-33)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Friday, January 13, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Pelicans vs Pistons Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 21-21 against the spread, while the Pistons are 20-22 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-5.5 -115O 234.5 -110-225
Detroit Pistons +5.5 -105U 234.5 -110+185

Pistons vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 away games (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+15.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.34 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 84 games (+26.11 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (+21.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 games (+20.22 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 21-21 (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 25-17 against the Moneyline (+1.8 Units / 2.26% ROI)
  • 25-17 against the Over for game total points (+6.3 Units / 13.64% ROI)
  • 17-25 against the Under for game total points (-10.5 Units / -22.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 20-22 (-4.2 Units / -8.48% ROI).

  • 12-33 against the Moneyline (-4.45 Units / -9.73% ROI)
  • 27-18 against the Over for game total points (+7.2 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 18-27 against the Under for game total points (-11.7 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 86 games (-37.28 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 78 games (-24.97 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.14 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-17.22 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.40 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.76 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-19.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 91 games (-18.15 Units / -18% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Pistons vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Jan. 13

  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren is OUT for Friday’s (Jan 13) game against New Orleans.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart is questionable for Friday’s (Jan 13) game against New Orleans.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson sustained a right hamstring strain during Monday’s (Jan. 2) game against Philadelphia. He will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones is questionable for Friday’s (Jan. 13) game against Detroit.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram hasn’t played since Nov. 25 against Memphis. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.