Pelicans vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Toronto, ON.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Raptors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 43-30 against the spread, while the Raptors are 36-35 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Toronto Raptors U

Raptors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Friday‘s game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Raptors.

Raptors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.5% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.27 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 43-30 (+10 Units / 12.29% ROI).

  • 25-49 against the Moneyline (-14.15 Units / -15.41% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 36-35 (-2.5 Units / -3.16% ROI).

  • 40-32 against the Moneyline (+6.25 Units / 4.52% ROI)
  • 28-44 against the Over for game total points (-20.4 Units / -25.76% ROI)
  • 44-28 against the Under for game total points (+13.2 Units / 16.67% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.85 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.90 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-18.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-15.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-11.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 away games (-11.65 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pelicans are 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Pelicans are 9-59 (.132) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .305

The Pelicans are 2-19 (.095) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pelicans are 3-28 (.097) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Raptors are 3-12 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .382

The Raptors are 20-14 (.588) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

The Raptors are 5-20 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

The Raptors are 11-32 (.256) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 60.6 points in the paint per game (2,302 points/38 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Pelicans have averaged 29.7 points in the paint per game (2,198 points/74 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (408/1,221) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have a TS% of 50% this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (4,354 points/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (2,232 points/117 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 fast break points per game (2,104 points/236 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,109 assists/ 509 TOs) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,276 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pelicans have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,200 rebounds/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pelicans have 657 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have blocked 379 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,424 rebounds/72 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Raptors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (513 blocks/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Raptors have averaged 8.2 steals per game (970 steals/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,040 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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