Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 38-29 against the spread, while the Rockets are 29-36 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Rockets.

Rockets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.2% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.46 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 38-29 (+6.1 Units / 8.28% ROI).

  • 22-45 against the Moneyline (-13.25 Units / -16.17% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-36 (-10.55 Units / -14.77% ROI).

  • 40-25 against the Moneyline (-22.8 Units / -9.97% ROI)
  • 28-37 against the Over for game total points (-12.67 Units / -17.73% ROI)
  • 37-28 against the Under for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.66% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-31.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (-27.05 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.44 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.00 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-13.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-12.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-11.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 40 away games (-9.95 Units / -21% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pelicans are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Pelicans are 13-28 (.317) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Pelicans are 3-27 (.100) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .356

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Rockets are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 15-1 (.938) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Rockets are 15-8 (.652) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.2 points in the paint per game (2,082 points/34 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pelicans have averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (3,854 points/67 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (356/1,075) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (138/361) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets had an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,466 rebounds/65 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pelicans have 593 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (379 blocks/65 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Rockets have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (3,201 points/2,683 shots) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,895 steals/229 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0


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