- The Pelicans (33-37) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (18-52)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSNO
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Houston.
The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Pelicans vs Rockets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 31-38 against the spread, while the Rockets are 28-38 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New Orleans Pelicans | -5.5 -115 | O 227.5 -110 | -225 |
Houston Rockets | +5.5 -105 | U 227.5 -110 | +185 |
Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.
Rockets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Pelicans and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Rockets vs Pelicans and all NBA games with BetMGM
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 62 games (+24.03 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games (+17.24 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 28 games (+14.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+14.44 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 away games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+16.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 31-38 (-10.8 Units / -14.04% ROI).
- 33-37 against the Moneyline (-13.6 Units / -11.92% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 28-38 (-13.8 Units / -17.92% ROI).
- 18-52 against the Moneyline (-12.65 Units / -17.48% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.88 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 77 games (-19.65 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 72 games (-18.58 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 72 games (-18.57 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 69 games (-17.56 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 64 games (-32.42 Units / -44% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 61 games (-22.78 Units / -29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.17 Units / -21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-20.35 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Houston Rockets
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The New Orleans Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 54.0 rebounds per game (3,670 rebounds/68 games) this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.
The New Orleans Pelicans are 18-40 (.310) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Los Angeles Lakers have averaged 53.3 rebounds per game (7,990 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.
The Pelicans are 11-20 (.355) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469
The Pelicans are 8-20 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Rockets are 8-84 (.087) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
The Houston Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,579 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.
The Rockets are 23-78 (.225) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Rockets are 13-52 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
Injury Report: Rockets vs. Pelicans – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 19
- Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will miss at least two more weeks.
- Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,771 free throw attempts/9,804 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 14.7 second chance points per game (2,200 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (5,462 free throw attempts/19,581 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,538 assists/ 1,760 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (779 assists/ 587 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,703 assists/ 1,262 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (749 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,252 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pelicans have 572 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (572 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (610 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,861 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Rockets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game (457 turnovers/35 games) at home this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3
The Rockets have forced 13.3 turnovers per game (916 turnovers/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2
The Rockets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/34 games) on the road this season — 10th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1
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