Pelicans vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 27

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on AZFS | KTVK | GCSE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit PHX Arena to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Suns Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 24-33 against the spread, while the Suns are 19-37 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Phoenix Suns U

Suns vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Suns.

Suns vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-33 (-12.25 Units / -19.22% ROI).

  • 15-43 against the Moneyline (-27 Units / -35.25% ROI)
  • 32-25 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 7.05% ROI)
  • 25-32 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -15.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 19-37 (-21.7 Units / -34.01% ROI).

  • 27-31 against the Moneyline (-14.6 Units / -11.66% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 29-29 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 75 games (-31.22 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 86 games (-29.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 73 games (-25.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 61 games (-20.96 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-19.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 73 games (-37.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 66 games (-23.24 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 75 games (-22.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-22.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.12 Units / -23% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Pelicans are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .295

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 3-22 (.120) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Suns have made 14.1 three-pointers per game this season — 7th-highest in the NBA.

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Suns are 7-12 (.368) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .522

The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .179

The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .190

The Suns were 22-11 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (103/256) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (1,023/2,673) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 110.6 points per game (6,082 points/55 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (759 points/137 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (287 points/55 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns are shooting 40% from three (415/1,040) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Suns have averaged 1.34 points per shot (7,931 points/5,934 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed 19.3 fast break points per game (1,060 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.5

The Pelicans have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (304 blocks/55 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (638 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (380 blocks/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Suns have blocked 773 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams


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