Pelicans vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Suns Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 35-29 against the spread, while the Suns are 37-24 against the spread.

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Pelicans vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Suns vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Suns.

Suns vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.50 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+7.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.31 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 35-29 (+3.1 Units / 4.4% ROI).

• 20-44 against the Moneyline (-14.45 Units / -19.33% ROI)
• 33-31 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.56% ROI)
• 31-33 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.53% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 37-24 (+10.6 Units / 15.54% ROI).

• 35-27 against the Moneyline (+8.1 Units / 7.51% ROI)
• 25-36 against the Over for game total points (-14.6 Units / -21.41% ROI)
• 36-25 against the Under for game total points (+8.5 Units / 12.46% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-26.30 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.90 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-17.15 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.00 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.60 Units / -37% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games (-16.05 Units / -41% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-13.15 Units / -32% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-11.00 Units / -24% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.70 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Pelicans are 12-27 (.308) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Suns are 16-4 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Suns are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784

The Suns were 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Suns were 14-8 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.4 points in the paint per game (1,964 points/32 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pelicans have averaged 29.9 points in the paint per game (1,916 points/64 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (335/1,023) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.9 fast break points per game (487 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Suns have averaged 20.9 points in the paint per game (4,722 points/226 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Suns have averaged 20.2 points in the paint per game (1,254 points/62 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Suns have a 20% free throw rate (544 free throw attempts/2,697 field goal attempts) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,186 rebounds/64 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.8 steals per game (564 steals/64 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Pelicans allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,032 rebounds/62 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 10.0 steals per game (618 steals/62 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (247 blocks/62 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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